Thursday, February 07, 2008

Ladies and Gentlemen, Boys and Girls....Prediction Time is Here

Spring is in the air - in New York City, at least, where the temperature hovers between fifty and sixty degrees and the weather favors either damp or wet - and in addition to bringing enough Red Sox news for Robin and I to write about something more than once every blue moon (and we do apologize for that), it means the time of predictions has arrived. We'll be doing our own roundups of each division in the coming weeks, but today I commend you to an outside source: the predictions of Paul SF at Yanksfan vs Soxfan. In his article, Paul takes a few different stats systems, checks them against the real results from last year, and then uses them to make a prediction about this year. It predates the Schilling injury/not injury, so his prediction of 100 wins - as the numbers predict Boston would have done last year - may no longer be accurate, but it's still interesting reading and doesn't get too heavy on the numbers.